M. Gabbia
64'
João Félix
74'
|
Referee: D. Rutella
|
Half Time: 0-0




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Commentary
Stats
LineUps
Predictions

AC Milan

Monza

Substitute
46'
In:S. Chukwueze
Out:Y. Musah

Substitute
46'
In:F. Camarda
Out:L. Jović
51'
Yellow Card
A. Bianco
Roughing


Substitute
61'
In:Álex Jiménez
Out:D. Bartesaghi

Goal
1:0
64'
M. Gabbia
Assistant: S. Chukwueze
70'
Substitute
In:S. Sensi
Out:P. Ciurria

70'
Substitute
In:G. Castrovilli
Out:G. Caprari


Goal
2:0
74'
João Félix
79'
Substitute
In:A. Izzo
Out:L. Caldirola

79'
Substitute
In:A. Petagna
Out:K. Baldé


Substitute
80'
In:Y. Fofana
Out:João Félix
83'
Substitute
In:A. Mazza
Out:S. Pizzignacco


Substitute
86'
In:A. Florenzi
Out:C. Pulišić
Off Target
13
Blocked
2
On Target
6
On Target
2
Off Target
4
Blocked
2
0
Yellow Cards
1
4
Corners
6
8
Fouls
7
0
Offsides
6
55
Ball Possession
45
21
Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
2
2
Goals
0
13
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots insidebox
3
11
Shots outsidebox
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
548
Total passes
443
512
Passes accurate
397
1.42
Expected Goals
0.33

7.2
16

7
33

7.2
31

7.9
46

7.5
23

7.9
14

7.5
8

7.9
11

8.5
79

6.6
80

6.2
9

6.9
21

6.3
44

6.5
5

6.3
13

6.5
77

6.2
7

6
42

6.9
19

6.3
10

6.6
17

6.6
84
7.2
7.5
64'
7.9
7.2
61'
7
7.5
7.9
46'
6.6
74'80'
8.5
86'
7.9
46'
6.2
Substitutes
46'
7.2
46'
7.2
61'
6.6
86'
80'
6.3
Coach
83'
6.9
6.3
79'
6.5
6.3
6.9
51'
6
6.2
6.5
70'
6.6
79'
6.6
70'
6.3
Substitutes
70'
6.9
70'
6.2
83'
79'
6.7
79'
6.3
Coach
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Illness
-
Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Groin Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Ankle Injury
🔵 Milan performance history highlights
Milan have Under 4.5 goals in their last 34/37 matches (91.89%)
Milan have Over 1.5 goals in their last 30/37 matches (81.08%)
Milan have Under 3.5 goals in their last 27/37 matches (72.97%)
Milan have Over 2.5 goals in their last 23/37 matches (62.16%)
Milan have Over 8.5 corners in their last 23/37 matches (62.16%)
🔴 Monza performance history highlights
Monza have Under 4.5 goals in their last 35/37 matches (94.59%)
Monza have Over 1.5 goals in their last 29/37 matches (78.38%)
Monza have Under 3.5 goals in their last 28/37 matches (75.68%)
Monza have lost in their last 25/37 matches (67.57%)
Monza have Over 8.5 corners in their last 21/37 matches (56.76%)
BetExAi engine Predictions
Home Win: 65.41%
Draw: 19.44%
Away Win: 15.15%
BTTS: 53.80%
+2.5 Goals: 59.88%
-2.5 Goals: 40.12%
+3.5 Goals: 37.51%
-3.5 Goals: 62.49%
+0.5 Home Goals: 88.51%
+1.5 Home Goals: 63.65%
+0.5 Away Goals: 60.79%
+1.5 Away Goals: 24.08%
💡 BetExAi Match Summary & Prediction
AC Milan have statistical dominance in almost every metric ahead of this clash. With a 65.41% win probability and 88.51% chance to score at least once, the Rossoneri are expected to control this match. Monza’s long losing streak and weak attack add to Milan’s projected superiority.
The model supports a game leaning toward goals, with 59.88% Over 2.5 probability. Monza’s scoring chance is still present (60.79% for +0.5), but defensive fragility (25 losses in 37) leaves little hope for an upset.
🎯 Suggested Markets:
- Home Win (very strong model and historical trend)
- Over 2.5 Goals (59.88% + Milan trend + Monza vulnerability)
- +1.5 Home Goals (Milan scoring form + 63.65% AI projection)
- +0.5 Away Goals (Monza still with 60.79% score probability)
📬 For advanced entry signals and real-time odds confirmation, submit your match request via premium AI chat analysis before kickoff.
Referee:
D. Rutella